The Curious Investor

Active Value Investing: Making Money in Range Bound Market written by Vitaliy Katsenelson debuted in October. Vitaliy was actually gracious enough to send me a copy (or two) of the book to review and, unfortunately, it took me quite a while to find the time to get through the book. I feel bad, but hopefully the earlier free book offer won by reader (and regular commenter) Marios H. was at least somewhat helpful for the book launch.

And, now, I’m ready to throw in my two cents. Vitaliy’s book is written in three sections: a background on range-bound markets, his active value investing strategy, and various bits of advice on applying his active value investing strategy. It’s actually quite a friendly read and is something which any reader with a basic knowledge of investing terms (i.e. P/E, simple valuation, etc.) could make sense of this book and learn from it. Vitaliy’s writing style is conversational and smooth though, at times, the book reads a bit too much like a one-way conversation and Vitaliy tries a little bit too hard to make pop culture references to illustrate his points. For example, there’s one dubious paragraph in which Vitaliy attempts to use Steve Irwin’s tragic death as an analogy for risk and risk management strategies.

Despite any qualms I may have had about the writing or choice of anecdotes, the content of this book really shines. It elucidates many topics and investing lessons that most new investors have to learn about the hard way. Vitaliy’s Active Value Investing strategy, while not necessarily novel, puts together many important lessons on investing in a very simple and understandable way through his QVG (Quality, Valuation, and Growth) framework. He discusses how to find strong companies (quality of the business and growth of its business) and hammers home the point that a good company does not necessarily mean a good stock (valuation). He even puts together a rigorous but easy to use valuation framework which he describes as his “absolute P/E model” which basically allows an investor to quickly create a target value for a company’s stock based on the price to earnings multiple and some qualitative assessment of the company’s business.

Beyond putting together a quick and effective investment framework for investors, he also devotes the last third of the book to sharing with the reader a lot of his own thoughts on buying, holding, and selling stocks. These valuable lessons are priceless for anyone who are just starting off in investing. Probably the most refreshing chapter to see was a chapter on “selling” and how to develop a strong sell strategy. (Admittedly something I need to work on.)

Honestly, these two portions of Vitaliy’s book - his active value investing strategy and his various chapters on practical application - would probably be enough for a strong entry into a sea of investing books usually heavy on promises and light on actual content. Active Value Investing delivers even more. Vitaliy presents his case for Range-Bound Markets and presents some original research supporting this rather worrisome market phenomenon that he believes we are in the midst of. Basically, the idea is that markets typically have two long-term “trends” and they are not bull and bear. Instead, he believes there are bull markets (the last of which finished in 2000) and flat, range-bound markets. Between 1960 and 1980, major indexes moved up and down and up and down but over the entire twenty year period there was little or no appreciation in either the Dow Jones or the S&P 500. He believes that in 2000, we started yet another one. His chapters on range bound markets are interesting and provide some very enlightening analysis of the psychology which drives long-term trends in the markets.

All-in-all, Active Value Investing: Making Money in Range-Bound Markets is an enlightening book for anyone starting out in investing which provides some great lessons that you don’t often find in investing books more concerned with simply teaching do’s an don’ts rather than the investing thought process. That being said, some of the writing can drag and Vitaliy’s strategy may feel a bit “dumbed down” for more experienced investors.

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