Market Commentary
Maximize Your Chances of Winning the Lottery
Just a little digression tonight, the Megamillions jackpot is up to $252 million tonight and I thought it’d be fun to do a little quick analysis of your chances of winning. For those that don’t know, the game is played by choosing five numbers from a set of 1 to 56 (without reptition) and then [...]
read more »Microsoft-Yahoo: Long term merger arbitrage?
The market (and internet) is buzzing with talk of the Yahoo!-Microsoft search deal. The deals are pretty simple and somewhat more beneficial than the deal which AOL signed with Google a few years back. Basically, Microsoft will power Yahoo’s search and Yahoo will become the ad platform across both search properties. Yahoo is granting Microsoft [...]
read more »International Destinations for your Portfolio
Intel’s forecast, today, highlighting their belief that Asian consumers would drive the economic rebound got me thinking. Could international stocks recover quicker and grow faster than domestic U.S. stocks over the next few years? To get a better grasp, I’ve decided to compare the performance of various international ETFs and take a better look. In [...]
read more »S&P Analysis Follow Up
Turns out that I wasn’t the only one spending my time trying to analyze the S&P yesterday. INO Market Club (a site sponsor) just uploaded a free video using even more detailed technical analysis than I did. In it, the author uses candle stick and volume analysis to identify the likelihood that sellers have overtaken [...]
read more »Why you should hold cash now
The markets have rallied nearly 50% off their lows, but the last two weeks have been decidedly slower. Are we about to correct back downwards? How severe will it be? I’ve been more focused on bottoms-up fundamental stock ideas over the last few months, but having made a few purchases these last few months and [...]
read more »The next big commodity play
Above is a graph of various commodity ETFs. The main ticker is UNG (United States Natural Gas Fund), a ETF which tracks prices of natural gas delivered at Henry Hub. OIL is the iPath Oil ETN. JJA is the iPath Agricultural Commodities ETN. JJM is the iPath Industrial Metals ETN. And, JJP is the iPath [...]
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