Stock Analysis

Net1 UEPS Technologies

It’s been a while and for that I apologize. Truth be told, I had gotten my portfolio almost fully invested by mid-last year. And, as the stock intense rally we’ve seen in stocks through 2009 has turned flat since the new year, I’ve been much less aggressive with my personal portfolio and as such have [...]

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Ares Allied Merger Arb Opportunity

In my prior post, “Allied Capital Goes from Value Trap to Deep Value,” I made the point that the Ares/Allied acquisition created a potentially interesting merger arbitrage opportunity. As astutely pointed out by commenter BeauZeau at Seeking Alpha, the merger arbitrage opportunity is not quite as large as I portrayed. In a classic merger arbitrage, [...]

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Isis Pharmaceuticals breaches longterm support

I highlighted Isis Pharmaceuticals a few weeks ago believing that a sell-off causing a price decline from $19 to $16/share was a prime opportunity to buy a potential high-growth business. It seems, however, that my proclamation may not have been entirely correct. And, post last week’s trading, I’ve liquidated my position in ISIS. Do I still think [...]

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MCD – Almost as much value as a dollar menu

Above is a 5-year weekly chart for McDonald’s (MCD). As described by David Gordon of The Deipnosophist, MCD seems to have entered a hesitation after a strong, multi-year bull run. Over the last year, however, a symmetrical triangle seems to have formed which is a type of intermediate term base which is expected to end [...]

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Apple fairly valued? Decide for yourself!

Apple’s stock is fast approaching its 52-week high of $177.50 set almost exactly 1-yar ago and seems within striking distance of its all-time high valuation near $200.  I wrote at the beginning of the year about Apple’s intrinsic value and recommended buying the stock when it hit $89/share amid rumors of Steve Jobs’ declining health [...]

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Five stocks for those that missed the rally

The S&P has rallied nearly 50% from its lows and is up over 10% year to date. For those that sat out the rally afraid to get in, the market is starting to look (at the very least) fairly valued. It’s hard to say where things will go from here. But, a closer look at [...]

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